Medium read · Oct 28, 2026 · 7 minutes · Context Research

What social media did, and didn’t do, for Q3 fundraising

We matched 344 House and Senate candidates to their Q3 FEC reports and 167,520 of their own posts. A bigger following went with more small-dollar money at the margin, and the basics of the race predicted as much as everything online.

Share on X

We matched the 344 House and Senate general-election candidates Context tracks to their Q3 FEC reports and 167,520 of their own posts on four platforms. A bigger following and more attention from party accounts were associated with more small-dollar money, but the basic facts of the race and the candidate predicted about as much as everything the candidate did online.

These are associations in one quarter, not proof that social media raised the money. Limits and notes are at the end.